Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.189028 0.218294 0.252071 0.294287 0.346122 0.408332 0.489622
2025-03-16 0.141143 0.176889 0.222928 0.287955 0.379792 0.508693 0.710725
2025-03-23 0.117771 0.156822 0.211481 0.296597 0.431832 0.650264 1.058679
2025-03-30 0.098758 0.137323 0.194674 0.290811 0.458451 0.762847 1.429456
2025-04-06 0.087314 0.125978 0.186570 0.295051 0.501244 0.920758 2.003822
2025-04-13 0.077182 0.114618 0.175773 0.291269 0.527258 1.057765 2.656032
2025-04-20 0.070609 0.107749 0.170868 0.296450 0.572393 1.261089 3.728738
2025-04-27 0.065602 0.102637 0.167930 0.304412 0.626347 1.520173 5.395596
2025-05-04 0.061197 0.097887 0.164732 0.310908 0.679479 1.815609 7.851407
2025-05-11 0.057636 0.094126 0.162706 0.319355 0.741341 2.191014 11.887331
2025-05-18 0.054053 0.089856 0.158977 0.323009 0.792003 2.575915 17.720620
2025-05-25 0.050767 0.085746 0.154934 0.324985 0.839155 2.999879 26.748154
2025-06-01 0.047453 0.081303 0.149737 0.323426 0.876844 3.439881 40.740233
2025-06-08 0.044100 0.076455 0.143071 0.316787 0.895796 3.820393 60.152090
2025-06-15 0.042319 0.074551 0.142579 0.326734 0.980838 4.735594 121.496846
2025-06-22 0.039603 0.070474 0.136668 0.320228 1.000101 5.261904 200.891203
2025-06-29 0.037873 0.068269 0.134775 0.325048 1.069889 6.341449 469.998539
2025-07-06 0.035766 0.065079 0.130173 0.320766 1.098755 7.159219 1027.487393
2025-07-13 0.034410 0.063368 0.128904 0.326640 1.179736 8.769548 4417.819341
2025-07-20 0.033317 0.062120 0.128609 0.335672 1.284040 11.105486 75799.365280
2025-07-27 0.032216 0.060753 0.127842 0.343046 1.386751 14.002161 NaN
2025-08-03 0.031283 0.059679 0.127693 0.352645 1.511821 18.200060 NaN
2025-08-10 0.030181 0.058127 0.126108 0.356801 1.609107 22.775894 NaN